Morning Reports

Monday, June 16, 2025. Welcome to the edge of reason—where the only thing more volatile than the VIX is the collective mood of Wall Street.

Markets are twitchy. The VIX spiked 14% as traders pretend to ignore the Israel-Iran conflict, but oil isn’t playing along. WTI sits at $72.53 a barrel, and gold is flexing at $3,434.87 per ounce—because nothing says “confidence” like a flight to safety. S&P 500 futures are up 0.5% at 6,006.75, as if the Fed’s looming policy decision is just another box to check. Bitcoin, meanwhile, is back in beast mode at $106,430, because apparently, digital gold is the new bunker.

Macro data is a slow burn. GDP shrank 0.1% in Q1, and full-year growth forecasts are circling the drain at 0.6–1.7%. Stagflation is the word of the week, thanks to tariffs that would make Smoot and Hawley blush. Inflation is on track to hit 4% by year-end, so don’t expect your paycheck to keep up with your grocery bill.

The labor market is losing steam. Over 170 major U.S. companies are set to announce job cuts this month. Private-sector hiring is cooling, and services activity is slipping. If you’re looking for a silver lining, try aluminum—at least it’s not being cut.

Politics? The “No Kings” protests are heating up, and the Trump administration’s tariff tantrum is rattling global capital flows. The “One Big Beautiful Bill” is threatening to blow out the deficit and spook bond markets. If you thought D.C. couldn’t get messier, just wait.

Today’s calendar is mercifully light—no major economic data or earnings. The real fireworks start midweek with retail sales and the Fed. Until then, keep your stops tight and your coffee stronger.

Survival tip: In a market this jumpy, hope is not a strategy. Prepare for whiplash.

Friday, June 13, 2025. The market gods are in a foul mood, and the screens are bleeding—welcome to the show.

U.S. stock futures are limping into the open after yesterday’s selloff. Dow futures are down 0.7%, S&P 500 off 0.5%, and Nasdaq futures lower by 0.6%. Boeing is in freefall, down 8% premarket after a 787-8 crash in India. Oracle is the rare bright spot, surging on robust cloud revenue, but that’s cold comfort in a market gripped by macro anxiety.

Inflation data is the only thing softer than the Fed’s credibility: May CPI rose just 0.1%, well below consensus, and core CPI matched that snail’s pace. Year-over-year, CPI is up 2.4% and core at 2.9%. The labor market is showing cracks, with participation dropping to 62.4% and more Americans sitting on the sidelines. Meanwhile, tariff drama with China drags on, and stagflation is the word du jour as GDP growth projections sink to 1.6% for the year.

Today’s calendar is loaded: Initial and continuing jobless claims, corporate profits, GDP price index, and core PCE all hit at 12:30 PM ET. Existing and pending home sales drop at 2:00 PM, and the University of Michigan consumer sentiment index lands at 10:00 AM. Earnings season is on life support, but a few stragglers will report.

Price check: Gold is flexing at $3,414 per ounce. Oil (WTI) is ripping higher at $73.67 a barrel, up 7% overnight. Bitcoin is trading at $107,690, just below recent highs. S&P 500 futures are at 5,978, with key support at 5,905 and resistance up at 6,236.

If you thought yesterday was rough, keep your helmet on. The only thing more fragile than this market is the optimism holding it together. Trade sharp, or get trampled.

Thursday, June 12, 2025. The circus is back in town and the ringmasters are all wearing tariffs.

Markets just got whiplash. Yesterday’s CPI print came in softer than expected—headline inflation at 2.4% year-over-year, core at 2.8%. That was supposed to be a green light for risk, but the rally fizzled as traders remembered the world is still run by politicians with a taste for economic arson. S&P futures are down 0.5% premarket, Dow off 0.7%, Nasdaq down 0.6%. Boeing is in freefall, down 8% after another Dreamliner crash, just as the company was trying to crawl out from under its last legal disaster. Oracle, on the other hand, is moonwalking higher—up 9% premarket—thanks to a 52% surge in cloud revenue. Tech: the only place left to hide, unless you’re allergic to nosebleed valuations.

Macro is a mess. The World Bank says global growth is crawling toward its weakest decade in half a century. U.S.-China trade talks are stuck in a holding pattern, with Trump’s latest “55% tariff” threat hanging over the market like a lead balloon. Chinese exports to the U.S. cratered 34% in May. Meanwhile, the “Big Beautiful Bill” is back in Congress, promising more tax cuts and more debt—because what’s another $2.4 trillion between friends?

Today’s calendar: PPI drops this morning, but after yesterday’s CPI, nobody’s expecting fireworks. Jobless claims are steady at 229,000. Adobe reports after the bell. Watch for more geopolitical drama out of the Middle East—oil is already spiking.

Price check: Gold futures at $3,383/oz. WTI crude at $67.19/bbl. Bitcoin is consolidating just below $110,000. S&P futures: 5,420 and sliding.

If you thought yesterday was wild, keep your helmet on. The only thing more dangerous than this market is thinking it can’t get any weirder. Trade sharp, stay cynical.

Wednesday, June 11, 2025. Markets are wide awake and the caffeine is fear. If you thought the summer would bring calm, think again—today’s session is a cocktail of trade drama, inflation anxiety, and the usual political theater.

U.S. and China have agreed on a framework for a trade truce after marathon talks in Geneva. The handshake is real, but don’t pop the champagne until both Trump and Xi sign off. Markets have been riding this optimism, with the S&P 500 closing up 0.55% at a 3½-month high, Nasdaq up 0.66% led by semis, and the Dow inching toward record territory. Semiconductors ripped higher on hopes of relaxed chip export rules. Tesla’s rebound continues, as Musk promises robotaxis and dials down his presidential trolling. Meanwhile, Google is handing out buyout offers like party favors, a not-so-subtle nod to tech’s cost-cutting obsession.

But the real show is the May CPI print dropping at 8:30 a.m. ET. Consensus expects a 0.2% monthly rise, 2.3% year-over-year. Core inflation is pegged at 2.8%. Miss those numbers and you’ll see volatility spike, especially in tech. The World Bank just trimmed its global GDP forecast, and Treasury yields are twitchy ahead of the data. No major earnings on deck—just the market’s collective nerves.

Price check: Gold is flexing at $3,340–$3,345 per ounce. WTI oil is holding $65.17–$65.73 a barrel. Bitcoin is strutting near $109,815, just a hair from all-time highs. S&P 500 futures are hugging last night’s close, waiting for the CPI grenade.

Today’s mood: Hope is fragile, and the only thing thinner than market conviction is the Fed’s patience. If you’re not ready for a whipsaw, you’re in the wrong casino. Eyes up, stops tight, and remember—serenity is for monks, not traders.

Good morning, June 10, 2025. If you thought yesterday was quiet, you clearly missed the memo: the market’s just holding its breath before the next punch lands.

U.S. equities limped into the session with the Dow barely moving, the S&P 500 inching up to 6,005.88, and the Nasdaq flexing on semis. Volume was light, but the VIX ticked up to 17.16—fear is back on the menu. The real circus is in London, where U.S.-China trade talks have resumed. Treasury Secretary Bessent and his entourage are negotiating with China’s Vice Premier He Lifeng, with rare earths and tariffs on the table. Trump is already touting “constructive” progress, so brace for a tweetstorm if things go sideways.

Sector-wise, Consumer Discretionary, Materials, and Tech caught a bid, while Financials took a hit. Warner Bros. Discovery soared over 10% after announcing a corporate split—because nothing says “growth” like breaking yourself in half. Meanwhile, crypto is on a tear: Bitcoin hit $109,227 after flirting with all-time highs, and Circle’s stock is up 20% post-IPO. Oil is grinding higher, and gold is wobbling as traders try to decide if they want safety or just a stiff drink.

Today’s calendar is loaded: watch for the NFIB Small Business Confidence Index, new home sales, and the EIA’s energy outlook. U.S.-China trade talks continue, and everyone’s sweating this week’s inflation data ahead of the Fed’s June 18 meeting. Last quarter’s GDP shrank 0.3%, and May’s jobs print was solid but slowing.

Price check: Gold $3,329.55/oz. Oil (WTI) $65.65/bbl. Bitcoin $109,227. S&P 500 futures 6,010.

Strap in. The only thing more volatile than these markets is the political spin you’ll hear if the numbers disappoint. Trade smart, and don’t expect mercy.

Good morning, it’s June 9, 2025, and the market’s serving up a fresh batch of volatility with a side of political theater. If you thought last week’s rally meant the storm had passed, think again—this is just the eye.

U.S. equities ripped higher Friday after the May jobs report blew past expectations: 139,000 jobs added, unemployment steady at 4.2%, and wage growth still ticking up. The S&P 500 punched through 6,000, closing at 6,000.36, while the Dow soared over 400 points. Recession fears? Not today. But don’t get too comfortable—those numbers also torpedoed any hope for a near-term Fed rate cut. The market now pegs September as the earliest window for a move, and even that’s looking less certain. President Trump, never one to miss a headline, demanded a full-point cut from Powell, but the Fed’s in its quiet period, so don’t expect fireworks—yet.

Trade drama is back on the front burner. U.S.-China talks in London are making headlines, and every tariff rumor is moving markets. PMI data shows U.S. companies feeling the pinch from tariffs and supply chain snarls, while Europe gets a breather on input costs. Corporate land is a minefield: Tesla rebounded 4% pre-market after Musk and Trump’s public spat, Lululemon cratered 20% on weak guidance, and Circle’s IPO is still mooning thanks to stablecoin legislation.

Today, watch for the U.S. New Home Sales report at 2:00 PM ET—analysts expect a drop to 0.69 million units. The rest of the week brings CPI on Wednesday and the Michigan Sentiment Index Friday. The Fed stays mum until next week’s FOMC.

Price check: Gold $3,324.43/oz. Oil (WTI) $64.78/bbl. Bitcoin $104,000. S&P 500 futures 6,010.25.

Strap in. The only thing more fragile than this rally is the political consensus holding it together. Trade the tape, not the headlines, and keep your stops tight—because the next punchline could be your P&L.

Friday, June 6, 2025. Welcome to the financial circus—today’s main act: volatility with a side of political theater.

Yesterday, U.S. markets took a breather from their recent climb. The S&P 500 snapped its three-day win streak, closing down 0.5%. The Dow shed 108 points, and the Nasdaq dropped 0.8%. Tesla cratered 14% after Musk’s public spat with President Trump over the latest congressional spending bill. Trump threatened to axe government contracts, and the market responded by torching Musk’s net worth. MongoDB, meanwhile, soared 15% on AI-fueled earnings, proving that in this market, you’re either a hero or a punchline.

Macro mess? The trade deficit narrowed, but only because imports tanked under the weight of fresh tariffs. Weekly jobless claims hit an eight-month high, and the 10-year Treasury yield slipped to 4.35%. The dollar index fell to 98.45. U.S.-China trade relations are back in the headlines after Trump and Xi’s “very good” phone call, but don’t expect a love story—tariff threats are still on the table, and the Court of International Trade just blocked the latest round of “Liberation Day” tariffs.

Today, all eyes are on the May jobs report. After yesterday’s ugly jobless claims, traders are bracing for fireworks. Also on deck: Q1 GDP revisions, Core PCE, and pending home sales. Any hint of stagflation or labor market weakness could send markets into a tailspin.

Price check: Gold is at $3,362.20/oz. WTI crude trades at $63.33/bbl. Bitcoin sits at $104,952. S&P 500 E-mini futures are at 5,968.00, down 0.48%.

Strap in. With trade wars, political posturing, and a labor market on the edge, today’s session could make yesterday look like a warm-up. If you’re looking for stability, try yoga—because you won’t find it here.

Good morning, June 5, 2025. If you thought yesterday was wild, today’s market is serving up a fresh cocktail of stagflation fears, political theater, and enough volatility to make even the most seasoned trader reach for the antacids.

Wall Street’s mood is split. The Dow finally tripped, snapping a four-day win streak and closing down 0.2%. Meanwhile, the S&P 500 and Nasdaq keep inching higher, now just a hair’s breadth from all-time highs—because who needs fundamentals when you have FOMO? Under the hood, the ADP jobs report was a disaster, clocking in at just 37,000 new jobs for May. That’s the weakest print in over two years and a clear sign the labor market is losing steam. Treasury yields promptly tanked.

The macro backdrop is a mess. The OECD slashed its U.S. growth forecast to 1.6% for 2025, blaming tariffs and warning of a mid-year inflation spike to nearly 4%. JPMorgan is waving the stagflation flag, and Moody’s just downgraded the U.S. credit rating, citing the “One Big Beautiful Bill” that’s set to balloon the deficit by $3 trillion. Meanwhile, Trump and Xi are still playing chicken on trade, and Elon Musk is calling Congress to “kill the bill” with his usual subtlety.

Today, all eyes are on jobless claims and the looming Friday payrolls report. NVIDIA’s earnings after the bell could be the only thing keeping tech bulls from jumping out the window. Steel stocks are hot on tariff news, oil is holding firm, and retail is bracing for impact.

Price check: Gold is trading $3,370 to $3,400 per ounce. Oil (WTI) sits at $62.90 to $63.00 a barrel. Bitcoin is flexing at $72,350. S&P 500 E-mini futures hover near 5,985.

Strap in. The only thing more fragile than this market is the political consensus holding it together. Trade smart, or get steamrolled.

Wednesday, June 4, 2025. Markets are open, nerves are frayed, and the only thing moving faster than tech stocks is the spin from Washington. If you thought yesterday was wild, today’s menu is serving up another round of volatility with a side of policy whiplash.

U.S. equity futures are inching higher after tech’s latest moonshot. Nvidia just leapfrogged Microsoft to become the world’s most valuable company, while Broadcom and CoreWeave are riding the AI hype train. Meanwhile, CrowdStrike is getting punished for daring to offer less-than-perfect guidance, and Dollar Tree is warning that tariffs could turn its next quarter into a yard sale.

Speaking of tariffs, the White House just doubled down on steel and aluminum duties, pushing the effective U.S. tariff rate to a level not seen since the Great Depression. Steel stocks are loving it, but the rest of the market is bracing for higher prices and slower growth. Q1 GDP shrank by 0.2%, and the OECD is slashing full-year forecasts as inflation creeps toward 4%. The labor market is under the microscope with jobless claims and ADP payrolls on deck, and the Fed’s Beige Book drops later—expect more anecdotes than answers.

Here’s where the big numbers stand: Gold is at $3,350.40 an ounce, off its highs as the dollar flexes. WTI crude is trading at $63.07 a barrel, Brent at $65.60. Bitcoin is stuck near $105,940, boxed in by resistance. S&P 500 E-mini futures are at 5,977.25, up 0.51% with heavy volume.

Today’s playbook: Watch for ISM Services PMI, jobless claims, and the Fed’s Beige Book. Earnings from the likes of HPE and Dollar Tree are already shaking things up. Trade war headlines and political theater remain the wild cards.

Strap in. The only thing more dangerous than chasing this rally is betting on common sense in D.C. Trade smart, or get steamrolled.

June 3, 2025. Markets are open, nerves are frayed, and the only thing moving faster than futures is the spin from Washington. If you thought June would bring calm, think again—volatility is the house special.

Yesterday’s rally fizzled overnight as U.S. stock futures slipped: S&P 500 futures down 0.1%, Dow off 0.2%, and Nasdaq barely holding the line. The culprit? Trump’s latest tariff barrage, doubling steel and aluminum duties to 50%. Steelmakers are popping champagne—Cleveland-Cliffs up 23%—while automakers like Ford and GM are pricing in pain. The Yale Budget Lab says these tariffs could shave 0.5% off GDP growth and nudge unemployment up by 0.3% by year-end. The OECD just slashed its U.S. growth forecast to 1.6% for 2025, with inflation seen spiking to 3.9%. Trade war déjà vu, anyone?

On the corporate front, Dollar General soared 11% after a rare earnings beat, while Constellation Energy jumped 12% on a monster AI power deal with Meta. Gold miners are taking a breather after yesterday’s run, and nuclear stocks are glowing.

Today’s calendar is loaded: Factory orders expected to drop 3.1%, JOLTS job openings in focus, and the RCM/TIPP optimism index on deck. Fed’s Goolsbee is set to speak, and traders are already sweating Friday’s jobs report and the ECB’s looming rate cut.

Price check: Gold is trading $3,350–$3,358 an ounce, WTI oil at $63.30 a barrel, Bitcoin at $105,400, and S&P futures down 0.1% pre-market.

Strap in. With tariffs rising, growth slowing, and central banks on the hot seat, the only certainty is more whiplash. If you’re looking for stability, try stamp collecting.

May 29, 2025. Welcome to the circus—today’s main act: markets on a tightrope, with no net in sight.

Yesterday, U.S. equities took a nosedive. The Dow and S&P 500 each dropped 0.6%, Nasdaq slipped 0.5%. Nvidia’s earnings loomed large, and while the stock sagged during regular hours, it rocketed after-hours on another AI-fueled beat. The real show, though, was in D.C.: President Trump delayed his 50% EU tariff threat until July, yanking markets back and forth like a yo-yo. The “TACO trade” (Trump Always Chickens Out) is now a thing—markets tank on threats, then rally when he blinks.

Macro data is a cold shower. Q1 GDP shrank 0.2%, the first contraction since 2022. Full-year growth is forecast at a limp 0.6%. The Fed’s latest minutes read like a recession warning label: growth slowing, unemployment set to rise, and inflation getting a fresh kick from tariffs. Rate cuts? Don’t hold your breath. The Fed is stuck in wait-and-pray mode at 4.25–4.50%.

On the Hill, the House barely passed a monster tax bill, extending cuts and adding new ones. Moody’s promptly downgraded U.S. credit, citing deficit bloat. Treasury yields spiked, and the deficit hawks are circling.

Today, traders get a data deluge: Core PCE (the Fed’s inflation favorite), home price indices, consumer confidence, and Dallas Fed manufacturing. Earnings from Best Buy, Foot Locker, and more will test the market’s nerves. Fed officials Goolsbee and Kugler are on deck to talk policy.

Price check: Gold $3,282.54. Oil (WTI) $62.74. Bitcoin $107,733. S&P 500 futures 5,958.50.

Strap in. The only thing more volatile than these markets is the policy coming out of Washington. If you’re looking for stability, try a rocking chair.

May 28, 2025. Markets are open, nerves are frayed, and the only thing moving faster than the headlines is your blood pressure. Welcome to another day in the financial Thunderdome.

Yesterday’s rally was a sugar high: S&P 500 ripped 2.1% higher, Nasdaq soared 2.5%, and the Dow clawed back 700 points. All this after a bruising four-day slide and a Q1 GDP contraction of 0.3%—the first since 2022. The culprit? Businesses panic-bought imports ahead of Trump’s tariff barrage, and now the hangover is setting in. Treasury Secretary Bessent is promising 3% growth next year, but with inflation and unemployment both threatening to spike, optimism feels like a luxury item.

Trade war drama is still the main act. The U.S. and EU are playing nice (for now), delaying new tariffs until July 9. China and the U.S. have called a 90-day truce, but economists warn the real pain is just getting started. Pantheon Macroeconomics expects 40% of the tariffs’ price impact to hit by July, so keep your helmets on.

Today, the market’s holding its breath for Nvidia and Salesforce earnings after the bell. Nvidia is expected to post a 66% revenue jump, but all eyes are on CEO Jensen Huang’s comments about China sales under new export controls. Macy’s beat on revenue this morning, but the stock still slipped. FOMC minutes drop at 2:00 PM, and traders are desperate for any hint of a rate cut.

Price check: Gold is at $3,321.07, up 0.62%. Oil (WTI) is treading water at $61.12. Bitcoin is flexing at $110,173, with bulls eyeing $112,465. S&P 500 futures are soft, tracking the Dow’s 100-point dip premarket.

If you thought yesterday’s bounce was a sign of stability, think again. The only thing consistent in this market is the whiplash. Sharpen your stops and keep your caffeine close—today’s script is still being written, and it’s not likely to be a feel-good story.

May 27, 2025. Markets are open, the coffee is burnt, and the only thing more volatile than your portfolio is the political news cycle. Welcome to another day where risk-on is the new religion and logic is strictly optional.

Yesterday’s chaos was gift-wrapped by the White House: President Trump blinked first, postponing those 50% EU tariffs until July 9. The market’s response? Relief rally. Dow futures are up over 500 points, S&P futures are up 1.3%, and the Nasdaq is up 1.4%. Tech is leading the charge—Nvidia, Apple, Microsoft, Meta, Tesla, and Broadcom all up more than 2% premarket. Even Boeing is catching a bid after cutting a deal with the DOJ, though the fines are still coming. Meanwhile, Trump Media is up 9% on crypto investment rumors, because apparently, we’re all in the metaverse now.

Macro mess? The 10-year Treasury yield is down to 4.47% as traders bet the Fed will keep rates steady until the tariff dust settles. Durable Goods Orders and the Consumer Confidence Index hit this morning—watch for any sign the consumer is finally tapped out. Globally, the RBNZ is on deck with a rate decision, and the ECB’s Schnabel is scheduled to speak. Earnings? PDD, AutoZone, and Bank of Nova Scotia are in the spotlight.

Here’s where the rubber meets the road: - Gold: $3,298 per ounce, down 1.26% - Oil (WTI): $61.26 per barrel, down 0.8% - Bitcoin: $109,031, holding above $100K with a death-defying grin - S&P 500 futures: 5,890, up 1.25%, bullish above 5,866

The market’s mood has swung from panic to euphoria in 24 hours. Don’t get too comfortable. The tariff circus is just on intermission, and the next act could be a real crowd-pleaser. Strap in—today’s optimism is tomorrow’s regret if you’re not quick on the trigger.

May 26, 2025. The markets are shut, but the drama is wide open. Welcome to Memorial Day in America, where the only thing trading is blame.

Here’s the carnage recap: President Trump blinked on his EU tariff threat, pushing the 50% import hammer back to July 9. Global markets exhaled, and U.S. equity futures staged a relief rally—Dow futures up 360, S&P and Nasdaq futures in the green. The dollar, which had been circling the drain, found a ledge. Last week’s chaos? Dow down 2.5%, S&P off 2.6%, Apple got a 7% haircut after Trump’s iPhone tariff saber-rattling. Gold soared as investors ran for cover, and Moody’s handed the U.S. a credit downgrade for its ballooning debt. Congress, never one to miss a party, passed a $4 trillion tax cut bill that’s headed straight for the deficit.

Today, the only thing on the calendar is a national pause. No economic indicators, no earnings, no major events—just the sound of traders grilling and pretending not to check their phones. Tomorrow, the real fun resumes: Nvidia earnings, PCE inflation, GDP updates, retail inventories, and the Fed’s latest attempt at clarity.

Price check: Gold is at $3,349 an ounce, down a hair. Oil (WTI) sits at $61.75 a barrel, flat as a pancake. Bitcoin is bouncing around $108,000, still refusing to pick a direction. S&P 500 futures are at 5,891.75, up 1.3%—the optimism of a market that hasn’t opened yet.

Enjoy the quiet. When the bell rings Tuesday, expect volatility to come roaring back, fueled by tariffs, debt, and the kind of political theater that makes you question your career choices. Stay sharp—this week, the only certainty is uncertainty.

Hello everyone, it’s April 23, 2025. Let’s just say the markets have officially gone off the rails. Since Trump 2.0 took office, it’s been a rollercoaster of erratic tariff policy, emotional outbursts, and U-turns that would make an F1 driver dizzy. Yesterday’s session? Bipolar doesn’t even begin to describe it.

After spending days roasting Powell on social media and threatening to fire him, Trump suddenly declared he had no intention of doing so. Cue confusion, disbelief, and a short-term market rally. The S&P 500 closed up 2.51%, the Nasdaq climbed 2.71%, and the mood flipped from apocalyptic to cautiously euphoric—because, apparently, just not firing the Fed chair is bullish now.

On the trade front, Treasury officials hinted at a possible de-escalation with China. Yep, the same trade war Trump ignited might now quietly fizzle out. Rumors of backchannel negotiations helped boost risk appetite, and traders clung to any whiff of compromise like it was oxygen in a burning building.

But just when we thought things might settle, Trump dropped a bomb at 6:30 a.m.: tariffs on Chinese goods will be reduced significantly—but not eliminated. Because of course, why not send markets into another tailspin before breakfast?

Meanwhile, Tesla reported disastrous earnings—revenue down 9%, EPS way below expectations—and yet the market’s reaction? Meh. Musk promised he’d “focus more on Tesla” in the coming months, and that alone seemed to soothe the crowd. Apparently, earnings don’t matter as long as Elon shows up.

Gold is trading at $3,350, oil at $64.20, and Bitcoin finally broke higher, hitting $93,000. Traders are brushing off IMF growth downgrades, rising credit card debt fears, and a mountain of upcoming earnings (Boeing, AT&T, Texas Instruments, etc.)—because, once again, all that matters is what Trump says next.

Hello everyone, it’s April 17, 2025. Yesterday’s U.S. trading was pure market carnage. Semiconductors (Nvidia, AMD, ASML) were steamrolled as AI chip bans to China kicked in and Trump dropped another tariff bomb, hiking duties to 245%. That wiped $200 billion off Nvidia alone.

In Chicago, Powell stoked the flames, warning tariffs will fuel inflation and choke growth, and insisted he’s in no rush to cut rates. The Nasdaq tumbled 3%, the SOX lost 4.1%, and bond futures plunged.

This morning, U.S. futures are up about 0.75% on headlines that Trump’s talks with Japanese negotiators are “going very well,” sparking rallies across Asia: Nikkei +1%, Hong Kong +2.7%, Shanghai +1%. It seems even a whiff of détente with Japan sends everyone scrambling back into risk assets.

On commodities, oil jumps to $63.35 amid fresh U.S. sanctions on Iran and OPEC output cuts; gold rockets to $3,352 /oz; Bitcoin hovers near $83,500.

Today watch the ECB’s rate cut, Powell’s next speech, Philly Fed and jobless claims before the Good Friday shutdown. With Trump’s erratic tariff theatrics and Powell’s warning of higher inflation and slower growth, volatility is set to reign supreme. Buckle up.

Hello everyone, it’s Wednesday, April 16, 2025. The US markets are in a bizarre lull—trading volumes have tanked and investor attention seems to have shifted into survival mode, all while everyone’s waiting for Trump to drop his next tariff bomb. Despite the quiet, Trump hasn’t been idle. Instead, he’s launched a fresh offensive focused on critical metals—rare earths, cobalt, nickel, and the like—to curb America’s reliance on China. This move is the latest twist in his ongoing tariff war and has stirred renewed anxiety among market players. On the tech front, things got even murkier when Nvidia reported a massive $5.5 billion charge linked to its H2O chips designed to bypass export restrictions—a setback that led to canceled orders and inventory wipeouts. To add insult to injury, Nvidia simultaneously announced a colossal $500 billion investment in the US, yet its shares still dipped 6% in after-hours trading, dragging along AMD and Broadcom. Overall, US futures are sliding as investors grapple with the persistent fear of another unpredictable tariff derailment. With the uncertainty thick in the air and Trump’s next move always around the corner, all eyes are now on Powell’s upcoming speech, which might—or might not—offer some clarity. For now, the market remains on edge, caught in a relentless cycle of unpredictability and nerves.

Hello everyone, it’s Tuesday, April 15, 2025. After last week’s rollercoaster, the US markets seem a bit more settled—even if the underlying drama hasn’t ended. The big topic remains those ever-shifting tariff woes. Trump’s temporary “gift” exempting electronics and components initially sparked some hope (and even sent Apple soaring 7% at the open) but quickly fizzled out, with the stock finishing up a mere 2.2%. Instead, Trump and Commerce Secretary Leutnick quickly reminded everyone not to celebrate too early, fueling the persistent uncertainty that keeps investors on edge.

Meanwhile, the US indices have managed their second day of gains in a row, though the mood is far from euphoric—everyone’s bracing for the next wild move from the man himself. On the macro side, there’s chatter from Goldman Sachs, which beat expectations with quarterly EPS of 14.12 (versus 12.35 anticipated) and a profit of $4.74 billion, plus a share buyback plan up to $40 billion. Their CEO warned that rising tariffs could spark recession risks, even as the bank remains confidently insulated from the chaos.

Over in the commodities arena, things are equally volatile: WTI oil is trading at about $61.71 per barrel, gold is steady at roughly $3,245, and Bitcoin has nudged to around $85,200—prices that, unsurprisingly, are being swayed by Trump’s tariff announcements. Adding to the mix, the S&P 500 has slipped into “Dead Cross” territory—a technical bearish signal that might be a call for caution, even if history tells us the picture isn’t entirely grim.

In short, amid relentless tariff flip-flops and a state of constant geopolitical and economic uncertainty, US markets are hanging in there, but everyone’s watching Trump’s next tweet with bated breath.

Hello everyone, it’s Monday, April 14, 2025. The weekend started with a tantalizing hint of relief from the White House—certain tech items like smartphones, laptops, and semiconductor components were initially set to be exempt from tariffs. But that hope evaporated fast. The Commerce Secretary then warned that these products would soon face distinct duties, and Trump, taking to social media, declared there’d be no special exceptions—everyone’s getting hit. The result? A market that’s been tossed around like a ping-pong ball, with volatility that’s now become the order of the day.

US markets are in utter chaos. Investors have seen no day pass without a swing of at least 2%, with traders scrambling as Trump flips his tariff stance every 24 to 72 hours. The uncertainty is so thick you’d think the only rational move would be to shut down trading until someone in the White House figures out what in the world they’re doing. Meanwhile, whispers of a potential economic slowdown—or even a recession—float around, though current economic indicators remain murky amid all the tariff drama and wild policy pivots.

On the asset front, here are the numbers that matter: oil is trading around $61.24 per barrel, gold is holding steady at about $3,245, and Bitcoin is roughly at $85,000. With Jerome Powell’s upcoming comments under a microscope, any hint from the Fed might either steady the ship or plunge us even deeper into uncertainty. For now, all eyes remain on Trump’s next move; his erratic tariff maneuvers continue to dictate the mood on Wall Street as investors brace for more turbulence in this relentless ride of uncertainty.

Hello everyone, it’s April 11, 2025—and the markets are as mad as ever. One day we’re soaring, the next we’re crashing. After a brutal Monday plunge when no weekend negotiations took place and Trump announced no tariff moratorium, things bounced back hard on Tuesday with a nearly 10% rally when he later declared a 90‑day pause. Then yesterday, uncertainty and the escalating US‑China trade war sent us reeling again.

Trump’s unpredictable tariff antics remain front and center. Right now, tariffs on China are a staggering 145%—and they seem to be climbing by about 20% each day, all according to Trump’s mood swings. With his constant back-and-forth on policy, it feels like the only solution would be to shut down the markets until the so-called “president of the world” can decide once and for all who’s paying what.

Meanwhile, US markets have been dancing a volatile jig. By the end of the session, the S&P 500 had climbed 3.5% and the Nasdaq 4.5%, but the futures are all over the place—swinging between -0.6% and +0.2%—all thanks to that wild Trump factor.

On the macro front, the US CPI came in 0.1% lower in March, nudging the 12‑month inflation rate from 2.8% down to 2.4% (excluding food and energy)—the lowest base inflation since March 2021. Yet, with Trump’s tariffs looming, we all know better than to get comfortable.

And for the numbers that matter on your portfolio: Oil has slipped back below $60 per barrel, gold is holding at about $3,234, and Bitcoin is steady at $80,000.

In short, we’re in a high‑stakes roulette of tariff tantrums, extreme market volatility, and unpredictable asset swings—all thanks to the madness in Washington. Buckle up; tomorrow is anyone’s guess.

Hello everyone, it’s Thursday, April 10, 2025—and things have gone completely off the rails. The markets are in full-blown chaos, driven by what can only be described as the most absurd market manipulation in history, courtesy of President Trump. In a single mind-boggling session yesterday, after the close, Trump pulled his signature stunt that sent the US indices soaring—the S&P 500 jumped nearly 10%, the Nasdaq skyrocketed by 12%, and the Dow rallied almost 8%. It was the biggest, most ridiculous rally we’ve seen in 24 years.

Here’s what went down: after a panic fueled by non-stop tariff threats, Trump suddenly announced a 90-day moratorium on the extra reciprocal tariffs that had been looming. While the base 10% tariff remains, he canceled the additional surcharges—for now—unless countries crawl to Washington for negotiations. At the same time, he slapped a harsher penalty on China, imposing an extra 21% tariff (effectively 125% on their exports to the US). This drastic pivot flipped the script, quelling recession fears and even prompting Goldman Sachs to revise their outlook, now betting that the US will dodge a recession in 2025.

Amid this wild policy and political theater, asset prices are in the spotlight: oil is trading around $67 per barrel, gold holds steady at $3,140, and Bitcoin is nearly at $82,000. The volatility is so extreme that the VIX tumbled from a peak near 58 down to around 31, though the markets still pulse with raw fear.

In short, Trump’s unpredictable tariff theatrics have transformed a looming economic nightmare into a rollercoaster rally—and if his next move doesn’t catch us off guard, nothing will. Buckle up, because the ride is far from over.

Hello everyone, it’s April 9, 2025. This morning, we’re trying to stay calm amidst market chaos—but it’s hard when every headline screams “tariff drama.” Trump’s latest antics have everyone on edge: one moment, there’s a rumor of a 99‑day tariff moratorium that sends the market surging, and the next, Trump ups the ante with a potential 104% tariff on Chinese goods, insisting he won’t negotiate with Xi until they reverse their retaliatory moves.

The result? US markets are on a wild ride. Yesterday’s session was one for the history books: after opening wildly and swinging between gains and losses, the S&P 500 and Nasdaq are now officially in bear market territory, with futures already down about 1.3%. It’s like the market’s entire mood hinges on a single equation—good tariff news equals a 5% boost, bad news drops you by 5%.

As if that wasn’t enough, the key asset numbers are in: oil is trading around $57.14 per barrel (with some eyeing a target closer to $51), gold holds firm at $3,029, and Bitcoin is hovering near $76,000. In this environment, nothing matters except tariff updates and Trump’s next unpredictable move.

In short, amid relentless tariff wars and Trump’s notorious policy swings, US markets are riding a storm that shows no sign of clearing up—so buckle up, because volatility remains the name of the game.

Good day, folks—it’s Tuesday, April 8, 2025, and what a ride it’s been. Yesterday, US indices plunged 5% at the open, riding a wave of panic fueled by a stagnant weekend and a classic Trump warning that things might only get worse. In true Trump fashion, he ramped up the tariff heat against China, threatening a jaw-dropping 104% tariff unless Beijing backs off on its retaliatory measures. Yet even in this high-stakes trade war drama, the US market managed an unlikely turnaround, with the Nasdaq closing in the green.

The market’s mood swung wildly when a 90-day tariff moratorium rumor—dropped at precisely 16:08—sent the S&P soaring nearly 6% in just nine minutes before being dismissed as fake news. It’s a rollercoaster powered by FOMO, with investors ready to bet everything on the next rebound.

On the asset front, key safe havens are holding their ground: oil is trading around $61.55 a barrel, gold remains steadfast at 3.12 (because gold never goes out of style), and bitcoin is hovering near $79,882. All of these figures play out against the backdrop of Trump’s unpredictable tariff antics and a market that’s as volatile as they come.

In short, US markets are dancing between raw panic and FOMO-fueled optimism, driven by outrageous tariff threats and Trump’s ever-unpredictable policy plays. Strap in—this political-economic circus isn’t slowing down anytime soon!

Today, April 7, 2025, is shaping up as another Black Monday for US markets. The S&P 500 opened deep in bear market territory—largely stirred by a weekend that ended without any meaningful tariff adjustments and, of course, Trump’s signature provocative rhetoric. The president’s remarks, including his offhand comment that sometimes markets need “a dose of medicine,” have only fanned the flames of uncertainty, while he flatly refuses any trade deal with China until America’s trade deficit is fixed.

On the macro front, Chairman Powell’s quiet warnings—implying higher tariffs will trigger more inflation and a bout of stagflation reminiscent of the 1987 crash—have done little to ease investor nerves. US futures are showing steep declines, and the day’s early trading figures hint at a dramatic drop that may echo the infamous automated trading fallout of past decades. The overall tone is one of reckoning with volatile, almost chaotic market conditions where numbers and algorithms seem to dictate panic more than fundamentals.

Meanwhile, safe-haven assets are feeling the heat too. Gold briefly slipped under the $3,000 level—the one asset left to lean on when everything else tumbles. In the crypto corner, Bitcoin dipped below $80,000, now trading around $78,000, underlining the deep-seated anxiety on Wall Street. And oil, steady at $60 a barrel, highlights that even with cheaper gasoline on the horizon, the market’s overall sentiment remains anything but reassuring.

In short, it’s a frenetic mix of aggressive US political posturing, uneasy macroeconomic indicators, and a market that seems caught in a free-fall, all converging in a uniquely American style of turmoil.